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Missouri gubernatorial election, 2012

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November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)

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Nominee	Jay Nixon	Dave Spence
Party	Democratic	Republican
Popular vote	1,485,147	1,157,475
Percentage	54.7%	42.6%

Governor before election

Jay Nixon
Democratic

Elected Governor

Jay Nixon
Democratic

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The 2012 Missouri gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Missouri. Democratic incumbent Jay Nixon won re-election against businessman Dave Spence.

1 Democratic primary
- 1.1 Candidates
- 1.2 Results
2 Republican primary
3 Libertarian primary
4 General election
5 See also
6 References
7 External links

Democratic primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

William Campbell^[1]
Jay Nixon, incumbent governor^[2]
Clay Thunderhawk^[1]

Results [edit]

100% reporting (3,420 of 3,420 precincts) ^[3]

Democratic primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Democratic	Jay Nixon (Incumbent)	269,865	86.0%
	Democratic	William Campbell	25,721	8.2%
	Democratic	Clay Thunderhawk	18,228	5.8%
Totals			313,814	100.0%

Republican primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Bill Randles, businessman and corporate defense lawyer^[4]
Fred Sauer, investment executive and pro-life activist^[1]
Dave Spence, businessman^[1]
John Weiler^[1]

Polling [edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bill Randles	Fred Sauer	Dave Spence	John Weiler	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	August 4–5, 2012	590	± 4.0%	15%	12%	42%	3%	29%
Mason-Dixon	July 23–25, 2012	400	± 5.0%	15%	1%	41%	3%	40%
Public Policy Polling	May 24–27, 2012	430	± 4.7%	11%	4%	32%	1%	43%
Public Policy Polling	January 27–29, 2012	574	± 4.1%	15%	—	11%	—	74%

Results [edit]

100% reporting (3,420 of 3,420 precincts) ^[3]

Republican primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Republican	Dave Spence	333,578	59.9%
	Republican	Bill Randles	90,651	16.3%
	Republican	Fred Sauer	83,695	15.0%
	Republican	John Weiler	49,006	8.8%
Totals			556,930	100.0%

Libertarian primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Jim Higgins, former officer of the Libertarian Party of Missouri^[1]

Declined [edit]

Leonard Steinman^[1]

Results [edit]

100% reporting (3,420 of 3,420 precincts) ^[3]

Libertarian primary results
Party		Candidate	Votes	Percentage
	Libertarian	Jim Higgins	2,500	100.0%
Totals			2,500	100.0%

General election [edit]

Debates [edit]

Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, September 21, 2012

Polling [edit]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Nixon (D)	Dave Spence (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	November 2–3, 2012	835	± 3.4%	53%	45%	—	2%
SurveyUSA	October 28–November 3, 2012	589	± 4.1%	48%	39%	5%	8%
Mason-Dixon	October 23–25, 2012	625	± 4%	48%	42%	—	9%
Public Policy Polling	October 19–21, 2012	582	± 4.1%	51%	40%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	October 1–3, 2012	700	± 3.7%	54%	35%	—	12%
Public Policy Polling	August 20, 2012	500	± 4.4%	46%	37%	—	16%
Survey USA	August 9–12, 2012	585	± 4.1%	51%	37%	5%	6%
Chilenski Strategies	August 8, 2012	663	± 3.8%	53%	39%	—	9%
Mason-Dixon	July 23–25, 2012	625	± 4.0%	48%	39%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	May 24–27, 2012	602	± 4.0%	45%	34%	—	21%
Public Policy Polling	January 27–29, 2012	582	± 4.1%	47%	27%	—	26%

Hypothetical polling

Republican Primary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Peter Kinder	Bill Randles	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 9-12, 2011	400	± 4.9%	34%	14%	53%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Peter Kinder	Someone else	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 9-12, 2011	400	± 4.9%	22%	35%	43%

General Election

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Nixon (D)	Bill Randles (R)	Other	Undecided
Mason-Dixon	July 23-25, 2012	625	± 4.0%	50%	35%	—	15%
Public Policy Polling	May 24-27, 2012	602	± 4.0%	46%	32%	—	22%
Public Policy Polling	January 27-29, 2012	582	± 4.1%	47%	29%	—	24%
Public Policy Polling	September 9-12, 2011	632	± 3.9%	45%	24%	—	30%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Nixon (D)	Matt Blunt (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 9-12, 2011	632	± 3.9%	50%	37%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling	April 28-May 1, 2011	555	± 3.9%	48%	38%	—	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Nixon (D)	John Danforth (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 9-12, 2011	632	± 3.9%	39%	45%	—	17%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Nixon (D)	Kenny Hulshof (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	April 28-May 1, 2011	555	± 3.9%	51%	34%	—	15%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Nixon (D)	Peter Kinder (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 9-12, 2011	632	± 3.9%	50%	31%	—	18%
Public Policy Polling	April 28-May 1, 2011	555	± 3.9%	48%	34%	—	18%
Public Policy Polling	March 3-6, 2011	612	± 4.0%	45%	38%	—	17%
Public Policy Polling	Nov. 29-December 1, 2010	515	± 4.3%	47%	39%	—	14%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Nixon (D)	Sarah Steelman (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	Nov. 29-December 1, 2010	515	± 4.3%	46%	35%	—	19%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Jay Nixon (D)	Jim Talent (R)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	September 9-12, 2011	632	± 3.9%	47%	38%	—	14%

Results [edit]

Missouri gubernatorial election, 2012 ^[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	Jay Nixon (incumbent)	1,485,147	54.68%	-3.71%
	Republican	Dave Spence	1,157,475	42.62%	+3.12%
	Libertarian	Jim Higgins	73,196	2.70%	+1.59%
	Write-ins		51	<0.01%	n/a
Margin of victory			327,672	12.07%	-6.84%
Turnout			2,715,869	64.80%
	Democratic hold		Swing

Note: The ±% column reflects the change in total number of votes won by each party from the previous election. Turnout percentage is the portion of registered voters (4,190,936 as of 10/24/2012)^[6] who voted.

References [edit]

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g Redden, Susan (April 2, 2012). "Susan Redden: Candidates for governor, lieutenant governor total 23". The Joplin Globe. Retrieved May 25, 2012.
^ "Gov. Nixon confirms he will seek re-election". Associated Press. December 16, 2010. Retrieved December 16, 2010.
^ ^a ^b ^c "Election Night Reporting". MO Secretary of State. August 8, 2012. Retrieved August 9, 2012.
^ Governor candidate Randles: Voters reject ‘next guy in line’ philosophy
^ http://enr.sos.mo.gov/ENR/Views/TabularData.aspx?TabView=StateRaces^Federal%20/%20Statewide%20Races^011656688155
^ http://www.sos.mo.gov/elections/registeredvoters.asp?rvmID=0012

External links [edit]

Elections from the Missouri Secretary of State

Campaign sites

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Missouri gubernatorial election, 2012

Contents

Democratic primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Results [edit]

Republican primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Polling [edit]

Results [edit]

Libertarian primary [edit]

Candidates [edit]

Declined [edit]

Results [edit]

General election [edit]

Debates [edit]

Polling [edit]

Results [edit]

See also [edit]

References [edit]

External links [edit]

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