Coordinates: 51°31′01″N 3°12′11″W / 51.517°N 3.203°W
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This article needs additional citations for verification. (December 2009) |
| Cardiff North | |
|---|---|
| Borough constituency | |
| for the House of Commons | |
Boundary of Cardiff North in Wales. |
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| Preserved county | South Glamorgan |
| Electorate | 67,194 (December 2010)[1] |
| Current constituency | |
| Created | 1950 |
| Member of Parliament | Jonathan Evans (Conservative) |
| Number of members | One |
| Overlaps | |
| Welsh Assembly | South Wales Central |
| European Parliament constituency | Wales |
Cardiff North (Welsh: Gogledd Caerdydd) is a borough constituency in the city of Cardiff. It returns one Member of Parliament (MP) to the House of Commons of the Parliament of the United Kingdom, elected by the first past the post voting system.
Contents |
History [edit]
This seat is the residential quarter of Wales' capital. It normally elects Conservative MPs but Labour has won in their better election performances. A traditional Tory section of northern Cardiff, over half of northern Cardiff consists of owner-occupied housing with a higher number of a middle class population than other sections, the Conservatives have recovered from the low points of the mid-1990s, and now hold the majority of the council seats forming the constituency (13, against five Liberal Democrats, three independents and no Labour). Success in the 2004 local elections was not repeated in the 2005 general election, with Labour's Julie Morgan retaining the seat with a reduced majority.
Nick Robinson profiled the constituency as part of the BBC's build-up to the 2010 General Election [2] saying:
"Labour's support here slumped from over 50% of the vote in 1997 to 39% at the last election when, it's worth remembering, Labour won a third term with the lowest-ever vote share obtained by a governing party. However, the Tories failed to gain from this decline, picking up just 227 votes in those eight years. Thanks to a lower turnout, their vote share crept up from 33.7% to 36.5%. The reason? Voters who deserted Labour switched, in the main, to the Lib Dems - even though they are outsiders in this seat with just under 19% of the vote.
"The Tories are hopeful of winning the seat, having topped the Euro poll not just here but in Wales as a whole. They have 13 councillors in this constituency as against Labour's none and the Lib Dems' five - even though in Cardiff as a whole, the Lib Dems control the city council.
"Labour hopes depend on stressing the independence and hard work of the local MP - Julie (wife of Rhodri) Morgan - and persuading those Lib Dems not to switch to the Tories."
In the event Julie Morgan once again stood for Labour in 2010 to try to retain the seat. The Conservatives chose Jonathan Evans MEP to stand for them, who had previously been the MP for Brecon and Radnor. Ladbrokes had forecast that Cardiff North had a 80% chance of becoming Conservative. Evans won, but only by 194 votes.
Boundaries [edit]
It comprises the electoral wards of Gabalfa, Heath, Llandaff North, Llanishen, Lisvane, Pontprennau/Old St Mellons, Rhiwbina and Whitchurch/Tongwynlais.
2015 General Election [edit]
Cllr Craig Williams was selected via an open primary as the Conservative candidate for the 2015 General Election following the announcement of Jonathan Evans to stand down. Cllr Williams is a Cardiff City Councillor for the neighbouring Pentyrch ward. He has previously fought Cardiff West (Assembly elections 2007 & 2011) and Cardiff South & Penarth (2012 by-election).
Labour have announced that they will select their candidate from an all female shortlist.
Members of Parliament [edit]
Elections [edit]
Elections in the 2010s [edit]
| General Election 2010: Cardiff North [4][5] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Conservative | Jonathan Evans | 17,860 | 37.5 | +1.0 | |
| Labour | Julie Morgan | 17,666 | 37.1 | −1.9 | |
| Liberal Democrat | John Dixon | 8,724 | 18.3 | −0.4 | |
| Plaid Cymru | Llywelyn Rhys | 1,588 | 3.3 | −0.9 | |
| UKIP | Lawrence Gwynn | 1,130 | 2.4 | +1.2 | |
| Green | Christopher von Rhuland | 362 | 0.8 | +0.8 | |
| Christian | Derek Thomson | 300 | 0.6 | +0.6 | |
| Majority | 194 | 0.4 | |||
| Turnout | 47,630 | 72.7 | +2.2 | ||
| Conservative gain from Labour | Swing | +1.5 | |||
Elections in the 2000s [edit]
In the 2005 election, Julie Morgan was re-elected with a reduced majority. Catherine Taylor-Dawson of the Vote For Yourself Rainbow Dream Ticket party scored the lowest result (one vote) of any constituency in this general election.
| General Election 2005: Cardiff North | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Labour | Julie Morgan | 17,707 | 39.0 | −6.9 | |
| Conservative | Jonathan Morgan | 16,561 | 36.5 | +4.9 | |
| Liberal Democrat | John Dixon | 8,483 | 18.7 | +3.4 | |
| Plaid Cymru | John Rowlands | 1,936 | 4.3 | −1.4 | |
| UKIP | Don Hulston | 534 | 1.2 | −0.2 | |
| Forward Wales | Alison Hobbs | 138 | 0.3 | +0.3 | |
| Rainbow Dream Ticket | Catherine Taylor-Dawson | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Majority | 1,146 | 2.5 | |||
| Turnout | 45,360 | 70.5 | +1.5 | ||
| Labour hold | Swing | −5.9 | |||
| General Election 2001: Cardiff North | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Labour | Julie Morgan | 19,845 | 45.9 | −4.6 | |
| Conservative | Alastair Watson | 13,680 | 31.6 | −2.0 | |
| Liberal Democrat | John Dixon | 6,631 | 15.3 | +4.4 | |
| Plaid Cymru | Sion Jobbins | 2,471 | 5.7 | +3.2 | |
| UKIP | Don Hulston | 613 | 1.4 | N/A | |
| Majority | 6,165 | 14.3 | |||
| Turnout | 43,240 | 69.0 | −11.2 | ||
| Labour hold | Swing | ||||
Elections in the 1990s [edit]
| General Election 1997: Cardiff North | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Labour | Julie Morgan | 24,460 | 50.4 | +11.5 | |
| Conservative | Gwilym Jones | 16,334 | 33.7 | −11.5 | |
| Liberal Democrat | Robyn Rowland | 5,294 | 10.9 | −2.7 | |
| Plaid Cymru | Colin Palfrey | 1,201 | 2.5 | +0.6 | |
| Referendum Party | Edward J. Litchfield | 1,199 | 2.5 | N/A | |
| Majority | 8,126 | 16.8 | |||
| Turnout | 48,488 | 80.2 | |||
| Labour gain from Conservative | Swing | ||||
| General Election 1992: Cardiff North[6] | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
| Conservative | Gwilym Jones | 21,547 | 45.1 | −0.1 | |
| Labour | Julie Morgan | 18,578 | 38.9 | +12.2 | |
| Liberal Democrat | Mrs Eve Warlow | 6,487 | 13.6 | −12.9 | |
| Plaid Cymru | Mrs Eluned M. Bush | 916. | 1.9 | +0.4 | |
| BNP | John H Morse | 121 | 0.3 | N/A | |
| Natural Law | David L. Palmer | 86 | 0.2 | N/A | |
| Majority | 2,969 | 6.2 | −12.4 | ||
| Turnout | 47,735 | 84.1 | +3.1 | ||
| Conservative hold | Swing | −6.2 | |||
See also [edit]
Notes and references [edit]
- ^ "Beyond 20/20 WDS - Table view". 2011 Electorate Figures. StatsWales. 1 December 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
- ^ Nick Robinson's Newslog "Taking The Pulse: Cardiff"
- ^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "C" (part 2)[self-published source][better source needed]
- ^ Cardiff North Cardiff County Council - candidates Cardiff North
- ^ Cardiff North BBC Election - Cardiff North
- ^ "Politics Resources". Election 1992. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Retrieved 2010-12-06.
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