digplanet beta 1: Athena
Share digplanet:

Agriculture

Applied sciences

Arts

Belief

Business

Chronology

Culture

Education

Environment

Geography

Health

History

Humanities

Language

Law

Life

Mathematics

Nature

People

Politics

Science

Society

Technology

Backcasting starts with defining a desirable future and then works backwards to identify policies and programs that will connect the future to the present.[1] The fundamental question of backcasting asks: "if we want to attain a certain goal, what actions must be taken to get there?"[2][3]Forecasting is the process of predicting the future based on current trend analysis. Backcasting approaches the challenge of discussing the future from the opposite direction.[4]

a method in which the future desired conditions are envisioned and steps are then defined to attain those conditions, rather than taking steps that are merely a continuation of present methods extrapolated into the future

Practical applications[edit]

Backcasting is increasingly used in urban planning and resource management of water and energy. It was used by Dr. Peter Gleick and colleagues at the Pacific Institute in a 1995 study on California water policy, as an alternative to traditional California water planning approaches.[5] In 2006, the Capital Regional District Water Services, which services the greater Victoria area in British Columbia, Canada, committed to backcasting to the year 2050 as a formal element of all future strategic water planning initiatives.[6]

Backcasting is a key component of the soft energy path, a concept developed by Amory Lovins after the shock of the 1973 energy crisis in the United States.[7]

Backcasting from Sustainability Principles, or System conditions of sustainability is a key concept of the 'Framework for Strategic Sustainable Development' pioneered by Karl-Henrik Robèrt, founder of The Natural Step, an international nonprofit organization dedicated to applied research for sustainability, in cooperation with a global academic Alliance for Strategic Sustainable Development which links universities which cooperate with businesses, and other NGOs.It has been refined and tested by peer-review and application within businesses (widely-known examples are: Interface, Nike, Whistler).

Research groups that use backcasting[edit]

Other resources[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ Page 12. The Soft Path for Water in a Nutshell (2005). Oliver M Brandes and David B. Brooks. A joint publication of Friends of the Earth Canada and the POLIS Project on Ecological Governance. University of Victoria, Victoria BC.
  2. ^ Tinker, J. 1996. From 'Introduction' ix-xv. Life in 2030: Exploring a Sustainable Future for Canada, edited by J.B. Robinson et al. Vancouver: University of British Columbia Press.
  3. ^ Page 5. Environmental Change and Challenge : A Canadian Perspective by Philip Dearden, Bruce Mitchell. ISBN 0-19-541014-9 / 9780195410143 / 0-19-541014-9. Oxford University Press.
  4. ^ Holmberg, J. & Robèrt, K.H. 2000. Backcasting from non-overlapping sustainability principles: a framework for strategic planning. International Journal of Sustainable Development and World Ecology, 74, 291–308.
  5. ^ Gleick, P.H., P. Loh, S.V. Gomez, J. Morrison. 1995. California Water 2020: A Sustainable Vision. Pacific Institute, Oakland, California (May 1995)
  6. ^ http://www.crd.bc.ca/minutes/wateradvisorycommitt_/2006_/dec12/dec12.pdf
  7. ^ "Energy Strategy: The Road Not Taken?" published in Foreign Affairs, in October 1976

Original courtesy of Wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backcasting — Please support Wikipedia.
This page uses Creative Commons Licensed content from Wikipedia. A portion of the proceeds from advertising on Digplanet goes to supporting Wikipedia.
5015 videos foundNext > 

Sustainability plan: How might Einstein solve our problems? (backcasting)

Learn about sustainability for free with short animation videos! Find all sustainability videos and join the community on http://sustainabilityillustrated.co...

backcast

backcast of dave vicary.

DEAN BASS Backcasting @ Kent Sportcast Sept 09

Difference Between Forecasting & Backcasting

Greenwala CGO Justine Burt interviews management consultant Irene Hughes about the difference between forecasting and backcasting in sustainability managemen...

backcasting Dave nesa 13.5.12

back casting

What is Backcasting? Learn the difference between backcasting and forecasting. You can read more about backcasting on my blog http://ditsu101.com/what-is-bac...

Mohan Sawhney on BackCasting

Presents a new approach to strategic planning for really new market spaces in technology businesses.

Creative Leadership Participant Michell Zappa: Visioning & Back Casting

Watch this presentation of Futurist and Class 4 participant Michell Zappa. http://www.thnk.org/person/michell-zappa/

backcasting in brief.mov

A short guide to backcasting for those with no experience but preparing to complete a backcasting exercise.

Backcasting 4500s zziplex

5015 videos foundNext > 

4 news items

 
Post-Bulletin
Tue, 29 Jul 2014 07:42:06 -0700

Some tools that distinguish a futurist from a planner, according to Troutman: scenario planning and backcasting. Scenario planning involves writing brief descriptions of a future time and place, including best and worst case scenarios and what's most ...
 
Climate Science Watch
Tue, 22 Jul 2014 08:56:59 -0700

The report adopts what they call a “backcasting” methodology, which is a term equivalent to but not as evocative as what I call “working forward toward a goal” (I used the term “working backwards” before John Harte at the Energy and Resources Group ...
 
Co.Exist
Fri, 11 Jul 2014 06:53:20 -0700

Instead of setting some notional target and hoping that economies fall in line over time, it uses a process of "backcasting" to propose what needs to happen by 2050 for countries to meet their responsibilities. The 15 countries each get roadmaps ...
 
국제신문
Sun, 20 Jul 2014 05:27:20 -0700

이어 토론시간에서 고영주 한국화학연구원 미래전략본부 본부장은 "미래 창조개념을 먼저 정립하고 이를 실현하기 위해 시간을 거꾸로 가는 식으로 재구조하고 재해석하는 '백캐스팅(Backcasting)'방법을 활용하면 좀 더 효율적으로 융합에 도달할 수 있을 것"이라 ...
Loading

Oops, we seem to be having trouble contacting Twitter

Talk About Backcasting

You can talk about Backcasting with people all over the world in our discussions.

Support Wikipedia

A portion of the proceeds from advertising on Digplanet goes to supporting Wikipedia. Please add your support for Wikipedia!