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Original courtesy of Wikipedia: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analysis_of_Competing_Hypotheses — Please support Wikipedia.
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41 news items

Fri, 13 Feb 2015 04:18:03 -0800

The ACH procedure is described in chapter 8: Analysis of Competing Hypotheses of the book Psychology of Intelligence Analysis by Richards J. Heuer, Jr. The Palo Alto Research Center (PARC) developed an ACH Tool which is available to the general ...


Thu, 24 Mar 2016 08:45:00 -0700

I recently ended up reading Psychology of Intelligence Analysis from Richard Heuer, based on a compilation of declassified articles from the CIA's Center for the Study of Intelligence, prepared for intelligence analysts and CIA directors. My previous ...

War on the Rocks

War on the Rocks
Mon, 26 Oct 2015 13:57:26 -0700

Editor's Note: This piece on the War on the Rocks Hasty Ambush blog is published in partnership with the Hoover Institution's Military History in the News. At the start of the Second World War, Great Britain's intelligence agencies were anything but ...
National Catholic Reporter
Thu, 11 Feb 2016 04:41:14 -0800

Like all presidents in their last year of service, President Barack Obama is trying to shrug off lame-duck feelings by pushing initiatives and programs that will outlast his term. Obama has put in motion one set of initiatives that, if implemented ...

Bloomberg View

Bloomberg View
Fri, 31 Jul 2015 10:27:29 -0700

In a July 28 letter to James Clapper, the director of national intelligence, Nunes asks the intelligence community to "conduct an analysis of competing hypotheses of Iran's nuclear intent and capabilities." Some analysts have argued that Iran has an ...
Seeking Alpha
Mon, 09 Nov 2015 04:07:05 -0800

The Bank of England is challenged by Carney's diminishing credibility and a conflicting message from the MPC. China is stage managing the IMF SDR currency basket entry but America has anticipated the move. The IMF is opening Pandora's Box by asking ...

Eurasia Review

Eurasia Review
Fri, 13 Nov 2015 17:07:30 -0800

In government, this might be called a quick and dirty Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH for short). The scenario with the most supporting evidence tends to be the most likely. NOTE: This will evolve throughout the day as more evidence comes in; I ...

h+ Magazine

h+ Magazine
Fri, 27 Feb 2015 13:42:03 -0800

Another related field of theory and practice is the Delphi Method and all of its variants and subsequent related proposals and analysis of competing hypotheses which are practices best known from the defense and intelligence analysis communities.

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